Haverfordwest County 1-0 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.44
6+ Goals
6%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+11.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.32/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.39
-17% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Cardiff MU
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
26.08.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
09.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GALWK
28.11.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
26.09.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
06.05.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
16.12.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County edged past Cardiff MU 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Haverfordwest County found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.83 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

Haverfordwest County 1-0 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 37%, draw 25%, Cardiff MU 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cardiff MU) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
27 Sep 2024
21:45 Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town Analysis →
21:45 Newtown vs The New Saints Analysis →