Barry Town 1-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 28% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 15%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.42/0.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.64
-47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Corners 6
23.08.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.04.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.03.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.01.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-4 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.11.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
05.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
1-0
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town edged past Aberystwyth Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barry Town as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Barry Town had 69% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 31%, shots finished 24-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberystwyth Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barry Town and 1.33 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Barry Town 1-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 62%, draw 20%, Aberystwyth Town 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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