Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

Aberystwyth Town
1-0 HT 1-0
Barry Town
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
38%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 28% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-11.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberystwyth Town v Barry Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.13/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.41
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barry Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.03.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.01.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-4 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.11.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
05.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
18.04.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town edged past Barry Town 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Aberystwyth Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberystwyth Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.33 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 32%, draw 30%, Barry Town 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barry Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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