Newtown vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Newtown vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
2-1
HT 1-0
Newtown
GAL
2-3
HT 1-2
Newtown
GAL
Newtown 0-4 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Caernarfon Town swept aside Newtown 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Newtown at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
On the day, Newtown had 52% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 48%, shots finished 12-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Newtown and 1.17 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Caernarfon Town?
Newtown 0-4 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Newtown 48%, draw 24%, Caernarfon Town 27%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Newtown), BTTS Yes went the other way.