Newtown vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Newtown vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
2-1
HT 1-0
Newtown
GAL
2-3
HT 1-2
Newtown
GAL
2-1
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
1-0
HT 1-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Newtown cruised past Caernarfon Town 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Newtown as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newtown and 1.00 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Caernarfon Town?
Newtown 5-0 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Newtown 47%, draw 23%, Caernarfon Town 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newtown), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.