Cardiff MU 0-5 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
16%
7.78
Away
70%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
29%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+8.8pp
16%
Draw
10%
+6.6pp
70%
Away Win
85%
-15.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 90%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.48/2.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.04/0.52
+133% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +35%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
1W-0D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 5.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-6 HT 2-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
06.01.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 8-0 HT 4-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
22.09.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-5 HT 1-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
25.03.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 7-1 HT 4-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
11.02.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-2 HT 1-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
05.11.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
0-5
AWAY The New Saints
20% Ball Possession 80%
3 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints cruised past Cardiff MU 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Cardiff MU had 20% of the ball to The New Saints's 80%, shots finished 3-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cardiff MU and 5.33 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Cardiff MU 0-5 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 14%, draw 16%, The New Saints 70%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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