Barry Town 2-1 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.42/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.30
-10% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.01.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-4 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.11.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
05.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
18.04.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
25.03.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town nicked a narrow win over Aberystwyth Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Barry Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberystwyth Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barry Town and 1.50 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Barry Town 2-1 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 36%, draw 32%, Aberystwyth Town 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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