Aberystwyth Town 1-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Aberystwyth Town
1-1 HT 1-1
Barry Town
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberystwyth Town v Barry Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.09/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.02
-20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Barry Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-4 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.11.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
05.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
18.04.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
25.03.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
06.11.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL

Aberystwyth Town 1-1 Barry Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1-1
AWAY Barry Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 4
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town and Barry Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barry Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberystwyth Town had 54% of the ball to Barry Town's 46%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberystwyth Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.17 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Aberystwyth Town 1-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 29%, draw 26%, Barry Town 44%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ BTTS No
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