Haverfordwest County 3-1 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.38/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.18
+26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Corners 7
02.03.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
04.11.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 5-0 HT 3-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
02.09.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-2 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County got the better of Colwyn Bay 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.33 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Colwyn Bay?

Haverfordwest County 3-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 52%, draw 27%, Colwyn Bay 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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