Haverfordwest County 0-0 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.21/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.86
+7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Penybont
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
21.04.2024 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
08.03.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
17.10.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-2 HT 3-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
18.08.2023 Penybont Penybont 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
04.07.2023 Penybont Penybont 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County HAZ
02.12.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-1 HT 2-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County and Penybont played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haverfordwest County and 1.33 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Penybont?

Haverfordwest County 0-0 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 30%, draw 26%, Penybont 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penybont), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
23 Aug 2024
21:45 Briton Ferry vs Cardiff MU Analysis →
21:45 Newtown vs Caernarfon Town Analysis →
21:45 Bala Town vs Flint Town United Analysis →
22:00 Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town Analysis →