Newtown vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Newtown vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
2-1
HT 1-0
Newtown
GAL
2-3
HT 1-2
Newtown
GAL
2-1
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Newtown and Caernarfon Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Newtown at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Newtown and 1.00 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Caernarfon Town?
Newtown 2-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - League Cup on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Newtown 49%, draw 23%, Caernarfon Town 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newtown) went the other way.