Newtown 1-6 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

Newtown
1-6 HT 0-2
The New Saints
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newtown vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
59%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
6.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
30%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
59%
Away Win
75%
-16.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 80%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
0.16/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.55
-78% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +47%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
236 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Newtown vs The New Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
0W-0D-6L
AWAY The New Saints
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Newtown Newtown 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
06.02.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
13.01.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
04.11.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.04.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-5 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
18.02.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL

Newtown 1-6 The New Saints — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newtown
1-6
AWAY The New Saints
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newtown vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside Newtown 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newtown had 29% of the ball to The New Saints's 71%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Newtown and 2.50 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Newtown vs The New Saints?

Newtown 1-6 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Newtown 21%, draw 21%, The New Saints 59%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
27 Sep 2024
21:45 Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town Analysis →
21:45 Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU Analysis →