Newtown 0-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

Newtown
0-1 HT 0-1
The New Saints
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-4 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Newtown vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.95
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
72%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.17
Over 2.5
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.91
2-3 Goals
29%
2.3
4-5 Goals
38%
2.39
6+ Goals
15%
4.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
49%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
9%
+2.2pp
17%
Draw
12%
+4.5pp
72%
Away Win
78%
-6.7pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.5pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 84%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.20/2.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.12/0.54
-74% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Newtown vs The New Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
0W-0D-6L
AWAY The New Saints
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
06.02.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
13.01.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
04.11.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.04.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-5 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
18.02.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
14.01.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 7-0 HT 4-0 Newtown Newtown GALWK

Newtown 0-1 The New Saints — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newtown
0-1
AWAY The New Saints
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Corners 13
POST-MATCH Newtown vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints squeezed past Newtown 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newtown had 36% of the ball to The New Saints's 64%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Newtown and 3.50 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Newtown vs The New Saints?

Newtown 0-1 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Newtown 11%, draw 17%, The New Saints 72%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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