Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

Pontypridd Town AFC
1-1 HT 1-1
Barry Town
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Barry Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontypridd Town AFC v Barry Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.89/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.14
+47% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Barry Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Barry Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
17.10.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
02.09.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
26.10.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 7-1 HT 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALLK

Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 Barry Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
1-1
AWAY Barry Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC and Barry Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pontypridd Town AFC had 47% of the ball to Barry Town's 53%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 2.25 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Barry Town?

Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 41%, draw 28%, Barry Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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