Penybont 5-0 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
8%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
62%
-16.9pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.9pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.62/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.37
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
25.11.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-1 HT 0-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
09.09.2023 Penybont Penybont 0-1 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penybont
5-0
AWAY Colwyn Bay
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 1
9 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont swept aside Colwyn Bay 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Penybont had 59% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 41%, shots finished 20-1.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penybont and 1.33 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?

Penybont 5-0 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Penybont 46%, draw 28%, Colwyn Bay 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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