Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.74
Over
48%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.12
No
53%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.76
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.78
6+
5%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.95
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.55
X/1
21%
3.82
X/2
6%
11.6
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
7%
10.4
2/X
4%
18.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rakow Czestochowa The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.81 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
375 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
19.04.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
22.10.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-1 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
18.02.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
07.08.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
20.02.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1 - 0
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.16 xG 0.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
382 Passes 405
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rakow Czestochowa found just enough to beat Gornik Zabrze 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

Under the surface, Gornik Zabrze saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.16 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Rakow Czestochowa against 0.83 for Gornik Zabrze.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze Result & Final Score

Rakow Czestochowa 1 - 0 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 63%, draw 22%, Gornik Zabrze 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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