Hermannstadt 2-1 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.17
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.23/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.26
+15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.4 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Buzau
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
18.10.2024 Buzau Buzau 3-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
2-1
AWAY Buzau
2.27 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
417 Passes 423
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
40 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt squeezed past Buzau 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hermannstadt as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 50% of the ball to Buzau's 50%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.27 to 0.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hermannstadt's control.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs Buzau?

Hermannstadt 2-1 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 52%, draw 23%, Buzau 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hermannstadt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hermannstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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