Al-Qadsiah 2-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 20%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.80/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.33
-41% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
28.6 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.36 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.36 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
338 Passes 344
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah beat Al Akhdoud 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 50% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 50%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Akhdoud?

Al-Qadsiah 2-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 57%, draw 24%, Al Akhdoud 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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