Al Nassr 2-3 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.5
6+ Goals
10%
5.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-15.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.4pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
2.28/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.91
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
22.6 Crosses 10.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.81 xG 0.90
63% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
520 Passes 277
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
22.12.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SAKK
14.08.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
22.01.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
2-3
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.58 xG 1.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
436 Passes 295
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq squeezed past Al Nassr 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Al Nassr carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Nassr had 58% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 42%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.58 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Nassr and 0.67 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Nassr 2-3 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 55%, draw 24%, Al Ettifaq 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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