Nakhon Ratchasima 2-2 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.05/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.14
+25% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
21.2 Crosses 15.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.03
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
205 Passes 351
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
10.03.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-3 HT 0-3 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
14.10.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 HT 1-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
2-2
AWAY Sukhothai
1.79 xG 1.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
342 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 20
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima and Sukhothai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 60% of the ball to Sukhothai's 40%, shots finished 25-15, expected goals 1.79 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 1.33 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai?

Nakhon Ratchasima 2-2 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 38%, draw 27%, Sukhothai 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) ✗ BTTS No
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