Eyüpspor 1-3 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Feb 2025

Eyüpspor
1-3 HT 1-2
Beşiktaş
📅21/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Eyüpspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.44
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.37
X/2
10%
5.19
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
20%
3.24
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.75
Value flag · 2/X at 12.75 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eyüpspor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 45%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.37/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.24
+18% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
16.8 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Eyüpspor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.02 xG 2.26
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
214 Passes 423
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
16.01.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-0 HT 2-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK

Eyüpspor 1-3 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
1-3
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.36 xG 3.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
320 Passes 389
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş beat Eyüpspor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Beşiktaş made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 46% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 54%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.36 to 3.05.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eyüpspor and 3.00 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Beşiktaş?

Eyüpspor 1-3 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 36%, draw 28%, Beşiktaş 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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