Bodrum FK 1-0 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.58/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.81
+66% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
14.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.78 xG 0.81
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 9
162 Passes 391
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 29
6 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK TSL
03.03.2018 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 0-5 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
1-0
AWAY Hatayspor
1.78 xG 0.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
229 Passes 282
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK squeezed past Hatayspor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 46% of the ball to Hatayspor's 54%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.78 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bodrum FK and 2.50 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Hatayspor?

Bodrum FK 1-0 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 52%, draw 27%, Hatayspor 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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