Chesham United 4-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Feb 2026

Chesham United
4-1 HT 0-1
Ebbsfleet United
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
48%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.8
Over
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.74
No
55%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Chesham United v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Chesham United The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United The Market 45%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.44 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.19
1.94 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.51
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 1-1 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
REVIEW Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chesham United overpowered Ebbsfleet United 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

A gentle 48% lean on Ebbsfleet United didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United Result & Final Score

Chesham United 4-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 28%, draw 24%, Ebbsfleet United 48%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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