Colchester 4-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Feb 2026

Colchester
4 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Barnet
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.56
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.8
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.75
2-3
48%
1.7
4-5
19%
3.76
6+
4%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.04
1/2
2%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.66
X/2
14%
5.28
X/X
19%
4.37
2/1
2%
31.0
2/2
20%
3.62
2/X
5%
13.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Colchester The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
210 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 68%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barnet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.54 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
121 Passes 255
57% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
24.02.2018 Colchester Colchester 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
11.11.2017 Barnet Barnet 0-1 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
11.02.2017 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
17.09.2016 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
30.08.2011 Colchester Colchester 1-3 HT 1-2 Barnet Barnet İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
4 - 1
AWAY Barnet
3.03 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
288 Passes 213
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Colchester vs Barnet
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Colchester overpowered Barnet 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 29% / 36%); Colchester picked one for it. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Colchester had 55% of the ball to Barnet's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 3.03 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colchester and 1.17 for Barnet.

Colchester vs Barnet Result & Final Score

Colchester 4 - 1 Barnet in the England - 2nd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Colchester vs Barnet Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Colchester 35%, draw 29%, Barnet 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barnet), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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