Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Swindon Town v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Swindon Town 1-2 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra nicked a narrow win over Swindon Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
A gentle 49% lean on Swindon Town didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 57% to 43% in Swindon Town's favour, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.70 to 0.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Swindon Town.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Swindon Town against 1.00 for Crewe Alexandra.
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Result & Final Score
Swindon Town 1 - 2 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 49%, draw 26%, Crewe Alexandra 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Town) went the other way.