Crewe Alexandra 0-0 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 25% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.35
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.24
X/2
14%
5.94
X/X
12%
4.82
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
16%
4.0
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -22%
1.03/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.42
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 68%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.4 Crosses 19.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Swindon Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 356
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
12.08.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
29.04.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
19.11.2022 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
06.11.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-3 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town FAK
20.02.2021 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0-0
AWAY Swindon Town
0.44 xG 0.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
222 Passes 174
63% Pass Accuracy 55%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 52% of the ball to Swindon Town's 48%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.44 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.50 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town?

Crewe Alexandra 0-0 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 35%, draw 27%, Swindon Town 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
24 Aug 2024
14:30 Tranmere Rovers vs Walsall Analysis →
17:00 Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham Analysis →
17:00 Barrow vs Port Vale Analysis →
17:00 Chesterfield vs Salford City Analysis →
17:00 Bradford City vs Bromley Analysis →
17:00 Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →