Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crewe Alexandra v Swindon Town — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Swindon Town
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
0-3
HT 0-1
Swindon Town
FAK
2-1
HT 1-1
Crewe Alexandra
İN1
4-2
HT 1-2
Swindon Town
İN1
Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Swindon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra squeezed past Swindon Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crewe Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 52% of the ball to Swindon Town's 48%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.23 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.67 for Swindon Town.
What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town?
Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 44%, draw 23%, Swindon Town 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.