Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 30% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.31
X/2
11%
8.36
X/X
11%
5.43
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
11%
5.89
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.27/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.15
+150% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 63%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.0 Crosses 16.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
2W-2D-1L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 2.07
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 282
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
22.02.2011 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
09.10.2010 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İBSL
30.03.2010 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
23.01.2010 Wrexham Wrexham 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
2-0
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.26 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 323
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham saw off AFC Wimbledon 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wrexham had 47% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 53%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.26 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wrexham had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Wrexham and 1.00 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon?

Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 44%, draw 28%, AFC Wimbledon 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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