Forest Green Rovers 0-2 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

Forest Green Rovers
0-2 HT 0-0
Harrogate Town
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.6
X/2
13%
6.95
X/X
14%
4.74
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
9%
4.99
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.82/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.36
+4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 69%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.7 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.76 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
231 Passes 324
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
30.04.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-3 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
07.12.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
13.03.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
05.12.2020 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2

Forest Green Rovers 0-2 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
0-2
AWAY Harrogate Town
0.34 xG 1.81
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
232 Passes 548
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town saw off Forest Green Rovers 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Forest Green Rovers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 34% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 66%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.34 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

Forest Green Rovers 0-2 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 42%, draw 29%, Harrogate Town 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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