Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Accrington Stanley v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
1-2
HT 0-0
Gillingham
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Accrington Stanley
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gillingham
İN1
0-2
HT 0-1
Accrington Stanley
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Gillingham
İN1
Accrington Stanley 1-2 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham edged past Accrington Stanley 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Accrington Stanley at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Accrington Stanley had 51% of the ball to Gillingham's 49%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.09 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Accrington Stanley and 0.83 for Gillingham.
What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham?
Accrington Stanley 1-2 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 42%, draw 26%, Gillingham 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.