Crawley Town 0-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.45
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
10%
8.0
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
15%
5.38
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.33
+17% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.0 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Salford City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
263 Passes 348
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
28.01.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-2 HT 2-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
03.09.2022 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
29.03.2022 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
17.08.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
09.03.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
0-1
AWAY Salford City
1.26 xG 3.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 35
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 10
242 Passes 182
64% Pass Accuracy 59%
16 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City edged past Crawley Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crawley Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crawley Town had 54% of the ball to Salford City's 46%, shots finished 10-35, expected goals 1.26 to 3.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salford City's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crawley Town and 1.33 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Salford City?

Crawley Town 0-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 42%, draw 27%, Salford City 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
13 Jan 2024
18:00 Stockport County vs Walsall Analysis →
18:00 Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
18:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town Analysis →
18:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
18:00 Doncaster Rovers vs Newport County Analysis →
18:00 Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham Analysis →