Stockport County 3-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

Stockport County
3-1 HT 1-1
Walsall
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Stockport County vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 24% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.32
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
22%
3.93
X/2
10%
8.57
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.3
2/2
13%
6.82
2/X
5%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.43/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
-28% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
326 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 57%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
25.8 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Stockport County vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Walsall
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
301 Passes 148
72% Pass Accuracy 56%
26 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
08.01.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 1-2 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall FAK
29.12.2022 Walsall Walsall 0-2 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
01.10.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
03.04.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
14.11.2009 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1

Stockport County 3-1 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
3-1
AWAY Walsall
2.54 xG 0.57
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
422 Passes 189
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County beat Walsall 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stockport County had 65% of the ball to Walsall's 35%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.54 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockport County and 1.33 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Walsall?

Stockport County 3-1 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 50%, draw 23%, Walsall 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5
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