Barrow 4-0 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 32% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.52
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
14%
5.07
X/2
12%
5.61
X/X
17%
4.45
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
17%
4.06
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +24%
1.16/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.99
-20% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 63%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.9 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Port Vale
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.81 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
238 Passes 288
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2024 Barrow Barrow 3-2 HT 1-1 Port Vale Port Vale İNLK
02.04.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-2 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
16.10.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 3-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
20.04.2021 Barrow Barrow 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
26.12.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 0-2 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
4-0
AWAY Port Vale
0.75 xG 0.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
289 Passes 315
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow ran out comfortable winners over Port Vale 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Barrow made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barrow had 49% of the ball to Port Vale's 51%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.75 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Barrow and 1.80 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Port Vale?

Barrow 4-0 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barrow 36%, draw 29%, Port Vale 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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