Chesterfield 1-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
12%
3.83
X/2
11%
10.9
X/X
15%
5.49
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
14%
8.48
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
60%
-19.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.2pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
0.73/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.66
-30% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.0 Crosses 18.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Salford City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.34 xG 1.65
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
119 Passes 289
51% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 37
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2021 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
08.12.2018 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İBSL
18.08.2018 Salford City Salford City 3-2 HT 1-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
1-1
AWAY Salford City
1.24 xG 0.30
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
406 Passes 156
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield and Salford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chesterfield had 66% of the ball to Salford City's 34%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.24 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chesterfield had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chesterfield and 1.00 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Salford City?

Chesterfield 1-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 40%, draw 30%, Salford City 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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