Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cheltenham Town v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cheltenham Town 0-1 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
AFC Wimbledon squeezed past Cheltenham Town 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 29% / 33%); AFC Wimbledon picked one for it.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Cheltenham Town had 41% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 59%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.08 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cheltenham Town and 2.33 for AFC Wimbledon.
Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon Result & Final Score
Cheltenham Town 0 - 1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - League Two on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 38%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cheltenham Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.