Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Cheltenham Town
FAK
3-1
HT 0-1
AFC Wimbledon
İN1
2-2
HT 1-2
Cheltenham Town
İN1
4-3
HT 2-1
Cheltenham Town
FAK
1-1
HT 1-1
Cheltenham Town
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
Cheltenham Town 0-1 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
AFC Wimbledon squeezed past Cheltenham Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cheltenham Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 41% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 59%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.08 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cheltenham Town and 2.33 for AFC Wimbledon.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Cheltenham Town 0-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 45%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cheltenham Town) went the other way.