Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.98
6+ Goals
10%
18.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.98 — our 24% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.06
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.68
X/2
10%
5.21
X/X
15%
4.27
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
18%
3.59
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.00/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
+1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
245 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 67%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.1 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Walsall
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 0.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
235 Passes 195
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-3 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
16.12.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
14.01.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
24.09.2022 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
12.02.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
07.08.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-0
AWAY Walsall
0.19 xG 2.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
121 Passes 244
52% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers squeezed past Walsall 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Tranmere Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 39% of the ball to Walsall's 61%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.19 to 2.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Walsall.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.00 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Walsall?

Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 33%, draw 29%, Walsall 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ BTTS Yes
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