Tranmere Rovers 1-3 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 25% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.18
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
11%
6.1
X/2
14%
5.08
X/X
15%
4.82
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
3.23
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
0.99/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.15
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
294 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.8 Crosses 18.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Walsall
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.87 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
244 Passes 204
65% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
14.01.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
24.09.2022 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
12.02.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
07.08.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
13.04.2021 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-3
AWAY Walsall
1.76 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
250 Passes 189
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall got the better of Tranmere Rovers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Walsall made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 56% of the ball to Walsall's 44%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.76 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tranmere Rovers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.67 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Walsall?

Tranmere Rovers 1-3 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 40%, draw 27%, Walsall 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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