Barrow vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Barrow v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Barrow vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Barrow 3-2 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Barrow squeezed past Port Vale 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Barrow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Barrow had 43% of the ball to Port Vale's 57%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.37 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barrow and 1.75 for Port Vale.
Barrow vs Port Vale Result & Final Score
Barrow 3 - 2 Port Vale in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Barrow vs Port Vale Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barrow 47%, draw 27%, Port Vale 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.