Barrow vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barrow v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Barrow vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Port Vale
İN2
3-1
HT 0-1
Barrow
İN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Barrow
İN2
Barrow 3-2 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Barrow squeezed past Port Vale 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Barrow found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Barrow had 43% of the ball to Port Vale's 57%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.37 to 0.58.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barrow and 1.75 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Barrow vs Port Vale?
Barrow 3-2 Port Vale in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barrow vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barrow 40%, draw 30%, Port Vale 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.