Bury Town 1-1 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bury Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 38%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.38/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.14
-9% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bury Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Needham Market
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2025 Needham Market Needham Market 4-2 HT 3-1 Bury Town Bury Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bury Town
1-1
AWAY Needham Market
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bury Town vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bury Town and Needham Market shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bury Town had 50% of the ball to Needham Market's 50%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Bury Town vs Needham Market?

Bury Town 1-1 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bury Town vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bury Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bury Town 40%, draw 25%, Needham Market 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bury Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bury Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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