Hednesford Town 3-0 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Feb 2026

Hednesford Town
3-0 HT 3-0
Lancaster City
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2025/2026

Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hednesford Town v Lancaster City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.65/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.54
-12% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hednesford Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lancaster City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hednesford Town cruised past Lancaster City 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hednesford Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City?

Hednesford Town 3-0 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hednesford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hednesford Town 51%, draw 22%, Lancaster City 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hednesford Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hednesford Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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