Djurgarden 0-2 Falkenbergs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
6.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.88 — our 29% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-2.4pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.1pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.62/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.96
+12% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
473 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.15 xG 0.95
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
487 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2020 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 3-2 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
15.07.2020 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ
24.09.2019 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ
15.05.2019 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 0-3 HT 0-3 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
11.09.2016 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-2 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
07.04.2016 Djurgarden Djurgarden 5-0 HT 2-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
0-2
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Falkenbergs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkenbergs FF got the better of Djurgarden 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Djurgarden at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 63% of the ball to Falkenbergs FF's 37%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Djurgarden and 0.67 for Falkenbergs FF.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Falkenbergs FF?

Djurgarden 0-2 Falkenbergs FF in the Sweden - Cup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Falkenbergs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 70%, draw 17%, Falkenbergs FF 13%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ BTTS No
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