Mjallby 2-0 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.77/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.74
+40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kalmar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.62 xG 0.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 503
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 0-3 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
29.04.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 2-2 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
03.09.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 0-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
12.03.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK
20.10.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
2-0
AWAY Kalmar
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby saw off Kalmar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mjallby had 42% of the ball to Kalmar's 58%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mjallby and 0.67 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Kalmar?

Mjallby 2-0 Kalmar in the Sweden - Cup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 51%, draw 23%, Kalmar 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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