Fiorentina U20 4-1 Lazio U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio U20 EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.95/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.15
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lazio U20
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2026 Lazio U20 Lazio U20 2-2 HT 2-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
09.12.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 3-0 HT 3-0 Lazio U20 Lazio U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Lazio U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 ran out comfortable winners over Lazio U20 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina U20 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 1.00 for Lazio U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Lazio U20?

Fiorentina U20 4-1 Lazio U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Lazio U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 50%, draw 26%, Lazio U20 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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