Milan U20 2-1 Napoli U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.71
Over 2.5
58%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
55%
-12.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
45%
+12.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli U20 EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.72/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.58
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Napoli U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.12.2025 Napoli U20 Napoli U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Napoli U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 edged past Napoli U20 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Milan U20 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Napoli U20?

Milan U20 2-1 Napoli U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Napoli U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 50%, draw 21%, Napoli U20 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milan U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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