Concepcion 1-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.91
Over
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Concepcion win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concepcion EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
Crosses 13.1
Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concepcion
1-1
AWAY Cobresal
2.23 xG 0.44
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
437 Passes 187
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Concepcion vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concepcion and Cobresal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Concepcion at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Concepcion had 66% of the ball to Cobresal's 34%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.23 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Concepcion vs Cobresal?

Concepcion 1-1 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concepcion vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concepcion win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Concepcion 53%, draw 25%, Cobresal 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Concepcion), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Concepcion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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