Union La Calera 0-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.67
Over
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.20/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.97
+37% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
18.2 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nublense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
274 Passes 347
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 3-0 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
05.05.2025 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
29.09.2024 Nublense Nublense 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
05.05.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
15.08.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
27.02.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
0-1
AWAY Nublense
0.70 xG 1.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
473 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense edged past Union La Calera 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Nublense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 63% of the ball to Nublense's 37%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.70 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union La Calera and 0.67 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Nublense?

Union La Calera 0-1 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 39%, draw 27%, Nublense 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union La Calera), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
21 Feb 2026
02:30 Concepcion vs Cobresal Analysis →
18:00 Huachipato vs Palestino Analysis →