Almagro 0-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.58
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
32%
Draw
36%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
0.77/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.72
-26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
0W-4D-2L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
14.06.2025 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
08.02.2025 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
23.07.2023 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
20.03.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
20.03.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
10.02.2020 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman edged past Almagro 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day San Martin Tucuman made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Almagro and 0.83 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Almagro vs San Martin Tucuman?

Almagro 0-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almagro 37%, draw 32%, San Martin Tucuman 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Almagro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almagro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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