HJK Helsinki vs TPS Turku Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HJK Helsinki v TPS Turku — Team-Based Signals
HJK Helsinki vs TPS Turku Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
TPS Turku
FİN
0-2
HT 0-1
HJK Helsinki
FİN
0-1
HT 0-0
HJK Helsinki
FİK
3-0
HT 2-0
TPS Turku
FİK
0-4
HT 0-2
HJK Helsinki
FİN
2-1
HT 0-0
TPS Turku
FİN
HJK Helsinki 3-1 TPS Turku — Actual Match Statistics
HJK Helsinki beat TPS Turku 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, HJK Helsinki had 78% of the ball to TPS Turku's 22%, shots finished 16-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.50 for TPS Turku.
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs TPS Turku?
HJK Helsinki 3-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - League Cup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs TPS Turku?
Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 67%, draw 19%, TPS Turku 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.