Ilves Tampere 2-2 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 32%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.11/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.81
-28% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Oulu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.96 xG 0.79
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
550 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Oulu Oulu 0-4 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
24.05.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
01.02.2025 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
04.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
04.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere and Oulu shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ilves Tampere and 0.50 for Oulu.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Oulu?

Ilves Tampere 2-2 Oulu in the Finland - League Cup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 46%, draw 22%, Oulu 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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