Oulu 0-4 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
56%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.11
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.55
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
7%
8.77
X/2
18%
4.5
X/X
9%
6.11
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.22
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.55 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
56%
Away Win
53%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
0.85/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.80
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +77%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
216 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.4
12.1 Crosses 20.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.55
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 522
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.05.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
01.02.2025 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
04.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
04.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
06.10.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
0-4
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.08 xG 2.79
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
212 Passes 468
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere ran out comfortable winners over Oulu 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Oulu had 34% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 66%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.08 to 2.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oulu and 1.67 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Ilves Tampere?

Oulu 0-4 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Oulu 25%, draw 19%, Ilves Tampere 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
16 Aug 2025
19:00 IFK Mariehamn vs KTP Kotka Analysis →